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Frozen pre-match forecast · #145762

Petrovac VS Kom

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.61%
Draw
27.31%
Away
20.09%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3396
Log loss
0.6424

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
d0c0bcda68f82bf66eb154458eba1512670e0f2b3edf3dfec5b7b3739eb606fc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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