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Frozen pre-match forecast · #145690

Ramsgate VS Stanway Rovers

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
78.50%
Draw
13.99%
Away
7.52%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.0715
Log loss
0.2422

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
1d262d7bdce64acb7e8a17b3cebd857e0aef9e96c48dda22ab27dab50c18fd5c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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