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Frozen pre-match forecast · #145549

Rosenborg II VS NTNUI

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
61.57%
Draw
18.26%
Away
20.18%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2218
Log loss
0.4851

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
c0f7e6d829059b88c0ec393c6e857e5b0f634cb0add2d2eef334a9c2645ed9a9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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