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Frozen pre-match forecast · #145462

FAS VS Platense

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 23:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
64.05%
Draw
20.97%
Away
14.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.1771
Log loss
1.8985

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
fc926bcd6513e7502ef7cab107be588ba0fa25732d71c1aaf689be9c58aba73a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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