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Frozen pre-match forecast · #145408

Panambi VS Farroupilha

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
69.34%
Draw
19.79%
Away
10.87%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.1360
Log loss
1.6200

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
8e1b7dbd7474a564b4bfe5703eaad1f27125ac4165d9453ea3b6f62d55768d90

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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