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Frozen pre-match forecast · #145192

Agoncillo VS Comillas

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
62.86%
Draw
21.21%
Away
15.93%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.0413
Log loss
1.5507

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
a87f716a61c772cd49b92c1ca8b6fffee65579d52c13aca4f1047a1905837856

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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