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Frozen pre-match forecast · #145187

Dos Hermanas VS Sevilla III

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
73.33%
Draw
17.56%
Away
9.12%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1103
Log loss
0.3103

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
d81ece2e8bd47bad65a9d48c353a1bfa4c2a06178443aead9a875f54f2a67457

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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