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Frozen pre-match forecast · #144913

Veria VS PAS Giannina

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
73.69%
Draw
18.30%
Away
8.01%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1091
Log loss
0.3053

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
80d0c8a799dcc03a30834641d1db40e39924c7ed6d39c646e951d7420c741579

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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