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Frozen pre-match forecast · #144804

Cosenza VS Team Altamura

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.23%
Draw
27.80%
Away
35.97%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.6185
Log loss
1.0225

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
98bcd4d68c6c47e0e83d1b54cb4dac803b2ec315b683aabf1a3676c5fde09049

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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