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Frozen pre-match forecast · #144767

Pusamania Borneo VS Yangon United

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.58%
Draw
24.39%
Away
22.03%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3235
Log loss
0.6240

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
1249d4ed4a627039d74a3cc23c3fc2cb5e89cc2a5d01a55450d09972ad4d2ce7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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