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Frozen pre-match forecast · #144699

FC Copenhagen W VS Odense Q

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.66%
Draw
22.15%
Away
22.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9643
Log loss
1.5055

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
a3a8c1626702562d1ff098fb46b5a74a8807ff2f31e6bdc3e3e467d3214f37c2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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