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Frozen pre-match forecast · #144598

Tamaraceite VS Real Betis II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
12.10%
Draw
21.67%
Away
66.23%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.2582
Log loss
2.1120

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
18be5fa96681439b8997a1a942b449c03e4515898165e3d8caf8876a6cb5f27f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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