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Frozen pre-match forecast · #144529

Maharlika VS Davao Aguilas

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 09:45 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.07%
Draw
23.12%
Away
46.81%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
1abacf9d636b3e50fd87c91a10ecd05b4c870897bd5537f1346df3eb1e56cf11

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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