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Frozen pre-match forecast · #144489

Uničov VS Hodonín

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 08:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.49%
Draw
25.38%
Away
29.14%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4465
Log loss
0.7878

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
SHA-256
e6c8c57cf80e25e72d28007d8b3af6d5f34a6e73bb19a619c2086ed7b645baad

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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