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Frozen pre-match forecast · #144306

Londrina VS Cuiaba

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 22:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.96%
Draw
28.77%
Away
34.27%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5976
Log loss
0.9953

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
1e704f1767fa15e2e8cac26a4d8c772e853864eabbeb5b2723bf2d29117ef2fe

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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