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Frozen pre-match forecast · #144226

Rapid VS Corvinul Hunedoara

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 18:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
62.76%
Draw
22.83%
Away
14.41%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2116
Log loss
0.4659

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
983a222424e6413c3da2115e4c1e422825b7ed2b3fcce6a93540ae544c285697

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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