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Frozen pre-match forecast · #144170

Omonia Nicosia VS Olympiakos

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
74.07%
Draw
16.71%
Away
9.22%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.2509
Log loss
1.7892

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
de2a5b432a45e42a600ea6d568473b4e21e6870bc0c8b732ff9fce2c3781696c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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