Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #143854

Volna VS Minsk II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.20%
Draw
23.73%
Away
39.06%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
1c24dbfdc78146c937d1e31fc7f62c08d4df7a183e32160b233cd71ec980f995

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →