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Frozen pre-match forecast · #143672

Clyde VS Annan Athletic

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.92%
Draw
22.11%
Away
21.97%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2915
Log loss
0.5812

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
71ec22209f33f02e1d46c926a65ba17402eb55b0f5739bb8302b66c1e775b5c3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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