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Frozen pre-match forecast · #143472

Inter Zapresic VS Jarun

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
26.65%
Draw
24.69%
Away
48.66%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8750
Log loss
1.3988

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
050403fdf574f4c295cd9376dfcb3b2ba9ca739f05c9bbc56203bd370c8a5ab7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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