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Frozen pre-match forecast · #143445

Dornbirn VS Kufstein

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
71.09%
Draw
17.77%
Away
11.13%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
1.1940
Log loss
1.7276

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
fa5776ec6ff287eb1c2f582b2ace04ed77a833a1a53cf1d4609298014ee8e98d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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