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Frozen pre-match forecast · #143397

Kooteepee VS Klubi-04

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.59%
Draw
22.21%
Away
28.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9306
Log loss
1.5046

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
73ea67106b15ef08424529f962242dd018ad5b25f4d4ca2f9380191b71f26f5b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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