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Frozen pre-match forecast · #14336

Friburguense VS Campos AA

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:59 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 17:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.98%
Draw
34.97%
Away
31.05%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6546
Log loss
1.0794

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:59 UTC
SHA-256
782d842e93f1a9f9be442c8a3e7e3d7a2780e491302b6d4d8d4067ede1d13070

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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