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Frozen pre-match forecast · #143341

Inter U23 VS SS Monopoli

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
58.24%
Draw
24.96%
Away
16.80%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 490-minute result
Brier score
1.0937
Log loss
1.7838

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
87995fa768652079d8b196bf6444e0644a64be7e315264fb7fd7ab553bbe415c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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