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Frozen pre-match forecast · #143169

Gjøvik-Lyn VS Oppsal

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
72.69%
Draw
15.79%
Away
11.52%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1128
Log loss
0.3190

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
22b8957c9e4dbc7b72845ae280e7dde86fcd163df22cfdf053200f92535e25fb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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