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Frozen pre-match forecast · #143155

Ham-Kam VS Bodo/Glimt

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
8.92%
Draw
13.61%
Away
77.47%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.0772
Log loss
0.2553

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
351feb46eddd9377b4c583fe1e051e5c580f041315ff0ab51cbed146cc6176ca

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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