Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #14313

Al Jeel VS Hajer

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:59 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
8.84%
Draw
45.98%
Away
45.18%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5038
Log loss
0.7770

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:59 UTC
SHA-256
c128951ddaf2e71472597cc3a7664cd8ce97132e75ae990c67da40c889a842e1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →