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Frozen pre-match forecast · #143112

Pho Hien VS Hung Yen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.42%
Draw
23.82%
Away
25.75%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9009
Log loss
1.4345

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
cb180ca7145ba5e394c8f4ea1e98ee14b357b2d8488a6756c1ad91c211cb8e18

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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