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Frozen pre-match forecast · #14306

Antoniano VS Mijas Las Lagunas

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:59 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.96%
Draw
29.30%
Away
26.74%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7646
Log loss
1.2276

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:59 UTC
SHA-256
4b2dfbd41cb5b6aee96a0b675f659e03d5c9c6a7defff14c6063f240a0c8f124

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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