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Frozen pre-match forecast · #14302

Rudar VS Kom

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:59 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.61%
Draw
31.71%
Away
28.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7054
Log loss
1.1484

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:59 UTC
SHA-256
b59de8730d7f2e6d92374d77820b68300bb8a20b3d2b2d55d867756633e3b2af

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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