Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #142971

Negeri Sembilan VS Sabah FA

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.80%
Draw
25.99%
Away
33.22%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8246
Log loss
1.3476

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
6a4f27c4dc71ee3ca1d27a9484599447d376a9760aa43d4d0d895c6fa50fe6ab

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →