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Frozen pre-match forecast · #142835

PRO Vercelli VS Lecco

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 18:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.85%
Draw
28.30%
Away
35.85%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.6201
Log loss
1.0258

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
d60eea3114c47bc23d9a357f58da6a33cab0f8e40d689988b65bd197cb4d8e42

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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