Frozen pre-match forecast · #142697
Al-Dhafra VS Dubai United
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 15 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 16 Oct 2026 · 13:05 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 39.76%
- Draw
- 25.23%
- Away
- 35.01%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.5491
- Log loss
- 0.9223
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 15 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
- SHA-256
- 70f7653d14440144f6a8eff75334cd5c4ce2112781d1b70e9359d8dc1e6cb973
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.