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Frozen pre-match forecast · #14255

San Javier VS SFC Minerva

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:58 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.63%
Draw
33.73%
Away
31.64%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6412
Log loss
1.0604

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:58 UTC
SHA-256
861678484fdff51bf525516decb1c36b355c63cf6d7264311bad4ef1084a13d4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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