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Frozen pre-match forecast · #142515

Khon Kaen United VS Chainat

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
57.35%
Draw
22.74%
Away
19.91%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2733
Log loss
0.5560

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
676f65a04fdab004e5de89d56d6ebc7406f244eb4b15022bae1ea55ae06ee5fe

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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