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Frozen pre-match forecast · #14245

Buñol VS Eldense B

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:58 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.45%
Draw
34.27%
Away
33.28%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6481
Log loss
1.0709

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:58 UTC
SHA-256
ea919f001c85fefef92f2f80d542f916cfb7082864ce346dce84b34d7f6a5b24

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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