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Frozen pre-match forecast · #142341

Naestved VS B 93

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.55%
Draw
25.36%
Away
27.09%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4128
Log loss
0.7434

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
eab6ffbcd11dda6bdcc95e15fc3565f7dc4ecad5487749606e979b5c8c284079

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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