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Frozen pre-match forecast · #142333

Voitsberg VS First Vienna

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.04%
Draw
24.50%
Away
44.47%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4647
Log loss
0.8105

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
c51e2e761064c5dc14271aa1ab27409e05f25988ead3f36191810eb6c9e5c351

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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