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Frozen pre-match forecast · #142312

Vlašim VS Hanácká

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 03:01 UTC
Match kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
64.98%
Draw
19.38%
Away
15.64%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1847
Log loss
0.4311

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 03:01 UTC
SHA-256
54ec7bfa4bf2e285f5a690565904c7ec9a5771957bfc75417cbf3bc50d684231

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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