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Frozen pre-match forecast · #142211

Dinamo Zagreb U21 VS Karlovac 1919

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 02:01 UTC
Match kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.76%
Draw
25.51%
Away
22.74%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9299
Log loss
1.4811

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 02:01 UTC
SHA-256
829c9fd0374ccc70c2e2360fa1a997c94ac32bcba7d4e49f9e1b4363438eb562

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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