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Frozen pre-match forecast · #142139

Virtus VS Murata

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 20:01 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
88.39%
Draw
8.71%
Away
2.90%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 20:01 UTC
SHA-256
451e78465e82af93b4215c2073acf8b90a61a90885f984ae755581c419c06f22

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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