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Frozen pre-match forecast · #14211

Antalyaspor VS Van BB

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:57 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.77%
Draw
28.29%
Away
21.93%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3804
Log loss
0.6977

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:57 UTC
SHA-256
1588ea238969c9c40615d87ad84ea5c0a8498c5ddffbfb831f30a469381c3ffa

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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