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Frozen pre-match forecast · #142040

Spartak Moscow VS Rubin

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 18:03 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.92%
Draw
24.63%
Away
18.45%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 18:03 UTC
SHA-256
3c30a3f544c9d72137aa07f51b9ee7450d5567d0314098b773f610a35e80412e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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