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Frozen pre-match forecast · #141900

Auda VS Riga

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 16:01 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
21.80%
Draw
20.79%
Away
57.41%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 16:01 UTC
SHA-256
f642a559e8ba0d21b1c3c7657faef70c172e4a2b3a9e137d9c86bcfa72f21f44

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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