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Frozen pre-match forecast · #141673

Petrovac VS Kom

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 07:01 UTC
Match kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.16%
Draw
27.42%
Away
20.42%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3457
Log loss
0.6509

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 07:01 UTC
SHA-256
9dd2de6d5e37999414642192c89a93b88e17edcca5d55568a96e9c0d9fc8f350

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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