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Frozen pre-match forecast · #141630

RC Kouba VS ASM Oran

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
57.39%
Draw
26.15%
Away
16.47%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9018
Log loss
1.3414

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
a63327b726bce2c55f3ac5e8082bcf9918627b8f9e4175df40349e2b81c373a4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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