Frozen pre-match forecast · #141603
USM Annaba VS CA Batna
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 14 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 51.13%
- Draw
- 28.21%
- Away
- 20.65%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.8195
- Log loss
- 1.2654
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 14 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
- SHA-256
- a808feda5335b12e851ffc3100e8e49522b67726bc574984b5c611f901e9cabe
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.