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Frozen pre-match forecast · #141485

Atlético Mineiro U20 VS Cruzeiro U20

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
71.01%
Draw
15.07%
Away
13.92%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.1261
Log loss
0.3423

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
83bad9080e8f1d77e5dc112a23f004c048e6d64a1fa4edb72f67f2dd522f2c68

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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