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Frozen pre-match forecast · #141452

Barrow VS Gloucester City

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
59.76%
Draw
20.91%
Away
19.33%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
2648a50de00347f0d596848b61aafb521d889ae2e16f7d0a91c978911b93dff2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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