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Frozen pre-match forecast · #141432

Atlético Tembetary VS SOL DE America

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.80%
Draw
28.26%
Away
37.95%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.5791
Log loss
0.9690

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
46e1311a9d4de4597800eb9844fb98ec34f9832b8dce71e5f83aedc49368cb24

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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